2018 FG’s Budget Estimates

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Total Budget Size: N8.612 trillion (16% above 2017 Approximation)

Projections/Assumptions

  • Crude oil price benchmark – $45 per barrel
  • Estimated Oil production – 2.3m barrels per day
  • Exchange rate – N305/US$ for 2018
  • Inflation Rate – 12.4%
  • Real GDP growth – 3.5%

Expenditure Estimates

Proposed cumulative expenditure – N8.612 trillion (16% above 2017 budget proposals)

Consist of:

  • Recurrent Expenditure – N3.494trn
  • Debt Service – N2.014trn
  • Statutory Transfers – about N456bn
  • Sinking Fund – N220bn (To retire maturing bond to local contractors)
  • Capital Expenditure – N2.428trn (less capital component of statutory transfers).

Recurrent Expenditure

As usual, a significant part of recurrent cost estimates for 2018 is for staff salaries and overheads in critical public services Ministries that include:

  • Interior – N510.87bn
  • Education – N435.01bn
  • Defence – N422.43bn
  • Health – N269.34bn

Capital Expenditure

2018 Budget key capital spending allocations are:

  • Power, Works and Housing – N555.88bn
  • Transportation – N263.10bn
  • Special Intervention Programmes – N150.00bn
  • Defence – N145.00bn
  • Agriculture and Rural Development – N118.98 bn
  • Universal Basic Education Commission – N109.06bn
  • Zonal Intervention Projects – N100.00bn
  • Water Resources – N95.11bn
  • Industry, Trade and Investment – N82.92 bn
  • Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC) – N71.20bn
  • Health – N71.11bn
  • Interior – N63.26 bn
  • Education – N61.73bn
  • Niger Delta Ministry – N53.89bn
  • North East Intervention Fund – N45.00bn
  • Federal Capital Territory (FCT) – N40.30bn

Key projects/programmes FOR implementation in 2018

  • 8billion for Mambilla hydro power project, with N8.5billion as counterpart funding
  • N12billion counterpart funding for earmarked transmission lines and substations
  • 41billion for the National Housing Programme
  • 00billion for the 2nd Niger Bridge
  • About N300billion for construction and rehabilitation of strategic roads

Spending Priorities for Regional Peace, Security and Development

  • Presidential Amnesty Programme retained in the 2018 Budget – N65billion
  • Capital provision for Niger Delta Ministry now N53.89billion compared to N34.20billion in 2017
  • Completion of East-West Road given N17.32 billion in 2018

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